$ Mike's Signal Catcher Catch the Big Runs For Fun & Education — Not Financial Advice :-) Powered by Claude.ai · Yahoo Finance · Weighted Scoring
Yahoo Finance Ticker Format
Data is sourced from Yahoo Finance with a 15-minute delay on all quotes.

Stocks: Use standard symbols — AAPL, MSFT, TSLA
Crypto: Append -USD — BTC-USD, ETH-USD, SOL-USD
Indices: Prefix with ^ — ^GSPC (S&P 500), ^DJI, ^IXIC
Futures: Append =F — GC=F (gold), CL=F (oil), SI=F (silver)
ETFs: Standard — SPY, QQQ, TLT, GLD
Price: $422.90
📈 · 3-Year Price Chart SMA 50 · SMA 200 · RSI(14) ?
Enter a ticker and click Analyze
Dividend / Total Return Note
🔪 Falling Knife Alert
📋 Signal Summary
👆 Tap any gauge for indicator details and chart
⚠ Indicator Conflicts Detected
🔒 Indicator Confluence Confirmed
⚡ ADX Trend Overlay Awaiting OHLC data…
ADX Trend Overlay
What is ADX? The Average Directional Index measures how strongly a stock is trending, regardless of direction. It ranges from 0–100; higher = stronger trend. It does NOT tell you if the trend is up or down — +DI vs -DI shows direction.

ADX is not a scored indicator — it acts as a regime overlay that multiplies the weights of trend-following indicators (SMA 200, MA Cross).

How it works:
• ADX ≥ 40: Very Strong Trend → weights boosted 1.20×
• ADX ≥ 30: Strong Trend → weights boosted 1.12×
• ADX ≥ 25: Trending → weights boosted 1.06×
• ADX ≥ 20: Transitional → weights neutral (1.00×)
• ADX < 20: Choppy → weights dampened 0.85×
🔵 Trend Direction Which way is the trend?
🟢 Volume & Institutional Flow Where is the money?
🟡 Contrarian / Mean-Reversion Is the move exhausted?
⚖ Weight Editor ✓ Baseline Timeframe: Position (1–3 mo)
Weighted Technical Score
No Fundamentals — Just The Price Action
/ 100
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Indicator Agreement:
Scoring Methodology

How the Score Works

9 technical indicators are scored 0–100 individually, then combined using weighted averages across two confidence buckets:

HIGH confidence (60%) — Volume Profile, SMA (Simple Moving Average) 200, MA Cross 50/200, RSI (Relative Strength Index) Extreme, OBV (On-Balance Volume) Trend
MED confidence (40%) — Money Flow Index (MFI), Bollinger Bands, DeMark Sequential, Candlestick Signal

ADX Trend Overlay

ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength and adjusts the weights of trend-following indicators (SMA 200, MA Cross). In strong trends these indicators get boosted; in choppy markets they get dampened.

Confluence & Conflicts

When related indicators align (e.g. Dual Trend: SMA200 + MA Cross), the score gets a confidence boost. When they diverge (e.g. trend vs. exhaustion), conflicts are flagged.

Conflict Regime Tiers: Three "backbone" conflict pairs (SMA 200 vs RSI, DeMark vs SMA 200, OBV vs SMA 200) represent the deepest trend-vs-exhaustion tensions.
Clear — 0–1 conflicts, 0 backbone: normal scoring
Elevated — 2–3 conflicts OR 1 backbone: conviction reduced, warning shown
Transition — 4+ conflicts OR 2+ backbone: score capped toward neutral (65 bull / 35 bear); the conflict pattern itself is the primary signal

Score Bands

72–100  Strongly Bullish (~70–80% prob.)
62–71  Bullish (~60–70%)
55–61  Cautiously Bullish (~55–60%)
45–54  Neutral (~45–55%)
38–44  Cautiously Bearish (~55–60%)
28–37  Bearish (~60–70%)
0–27  Strongly Bearish (~70–80%)
Note: Scores reflect technical indicator alignment, not a guarantee. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Extreme is contrarian — oversold = bullish, overbought = bearish. Only deterministically computable metrics are used — no subjective indicators.
💡 Customize Your Weights
Don't agree with the default weighting? Use the Weight Editor below the indicators panel to adjust how much each indicator contributes to the final score. Your custom weights are preserved in shared links and PDF exports.
📰 What's Driving This? click button to load
On-demand · uses Claude + web search
Key Price Levels ?
Price Level Definitions
Price — Current market price (auto-filled on Analyze).
Resist 1 — Nearest overhead resistance. Often the VAH (Volume Area High) — the top of the zone where 70% of volume traded. Price tends to stall or reverse here.
Resist 2 — Secondary resistance. Often the 52-week high or a major prior swing high.
Support 1 — Nearest downside support. Often the VAL (Volume Area Low) — the bottom of the high-volume zone. Buyers tend to step in here.
Support 2 — Secondary support. Often the 52-week low or a major prior swing low.
Stop — Suggested stop-loss level, typically set at 2× ATR (Average True Range) below price. This is where you'd exit to limit losses.
Target — Analyst consensus price target range. Populated by the AI analysis when available.
Price
Resist 1
Resist 2
Support 1
Support 2
Stop
Target
📊 Fundamentals Dashboard — run Analyze Context only — no weighting applied to TA score
🌐 Macro Regime
S&P 500
Volatility (VIX)
10-Yr Treasury Yield
Gold (XAU/USD)
Oil WTI (CL)
Leveraged ETF Vol.
Leveraged ETF Volume Sentiment
Measures retail/short-term conviction by comparing daily volume in bullish 3× leveraged ETFs vs bearish 3× leveraged ETFs.

Primary pair: TQQQ (3× Nasdaq bull) vs SQQQ (3× Nasdaq bear) — the most liquid leveraged ETFs, often 100M+ shares/day combined.

Secondary pair: UPRO (3× S&P bull) vs SPXU (3× S&P bear) — broader market confirmation.

Reading: High bull/bear ratio → bullish conviction/greed. Low ratio → fear/hedging. The 20-day average smooths noise. Spikes above 2× the 20d avg in either direction signal sentiment extremes.
Fear & Greed not loaded
Source: CNN (Equity)
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📖 Signal Catcher Guide

What Is Signal Catcher?

Signal Catcher takes daily price and trading volume data from Yahoo's free dataset — Open, High, Low, Close, Volume (OHLCV) — and computes 9 widely followed technical trading indicators. These technical indicators are normally viewed on a chart with price, but Signal Catcher converts chart analysis into rule-based scoring.

For each stock, nine indicators evaluate price and volume data. Each applies a fixed condition (e.g., price vs. 200-day moving average, RSI above or below thresholds) and outputs a 0–100 score.

Scores are combined using a weighted formula. Structural indicators (trend, volume) carry more weight than timing signals. Agreement across indicators increases the composite score. Conflicts are explicitly flagged.

The result is a single 0–100 score reflecting the degree and strength of alignment in the data. Identical inputs produce identical outputs. No interpretation required.

There is no AI speculation inside the scoring engine. No fundamental analysis. No subjective chart drawings or analyst opinions. Just clean, deterministic mathematics — the same input data will always produce the exact same score, no matter who computes it or when.

🔍 Cross-AI Validated: Claude was the primary builder. The scoring logic, weighting system, confluence definitions, and conflict detection were audited and refined by running the system through ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini. Each model reviewed the architecture and indicator calculator logic, and contributed ideas that made the final system stronger and more robust than any single perspective could have produced.

Why Add Technicals to Your Fundamental Work?

Fundamentals answer the "what" — is this a business worth owning?
Technicals answer the "when" — is the price action confirming or fighting your thesis right now?

Fundamentals → conviction in the name.
Technicals → conviction in the timing.

Together, they help you avoid the classic "great company, terrible entry" trap.

The 9 Indicators

Each indicator was chosen because it provides unique information no other indicator in the system covers, and each has a long institutional track record. Here's what each one does and why it matters:

Trend Direction

SMA 200 Trend — The 200-day Simple Moving Average is the single most widely watched level by institutional investors worldwide. Price above it = healthy uptrend; price below = downtrend. It's the dividing line between bull and bear markets. Carries the highest intra-weight (1.4×) for a reason.

MA Cross 50/200 — When the 50-day Moving Average crosses above the 200-day, that's a Golden Cross (bullish structural shift); crossing below is a Death Cross (bearish). These events are rare and meaningful — they signal the trend itself is changing, not just price.

Volume & Institutional Flow

Volume Profile — Maps where the heaviest institutional trading occurred. The POC (Point of Control) is the price with the most volume — it acts as a magnet. VAH (Volume Area High) and VAL (Volume Area Low) bracket where 70% of volume traded. Price above POC = bullish structure.

OBV Trend — On-Balance Volume tracks cumulative volume flow: adds volume on up days, subtracts on down days. Rising OBV with rising price confirms smart money is accumulating. The key signal is divergence — OBV falling while price rises warns that institutions may be quietly selling.

MFI — Money Flow Index is a volume-weighted RSI. It combines price movement with volume to measure actual buying/selling pressure — money flowing in vs. money flowing out. Scored as a contrarian indicator: MFI below 20 = oversold (bullish); above 80 = overbought (bearish). MFI bridges both worlds — it lives in the volume family because it's volume-weighted, but uses contrarian oversold/overbought scoring like the mean-reversion indicators.

Contrarian / Mean-Reversion

RSI Extreme — The Relative Strength Index measures momentum on a 0–100 scale. This is a contrarian indicator: RSI below 30 means sellers are exhausted → scored bullish. RSI above 70 means buyers are exhausted → scored bearish. Carries the second-highest weight (1.2×) because it sits at the opposite philosophical end from SMA 200.

DeMark Sequential — Tom DeMark's system counts 9 consecutive closes in the same direction to identify price exhaustion. A completed "Setup 9" — especially when "perfected" — is a high-conviction reversal signal. Countdown 13 is the strongest signal. It answers: has this move been going on too long?

Bollinger Bands — Plots bands at 2 standard deviations around a 20-day SMA. Scored as contrarian: price at the lower band suggests oversold (bullish reversal); price at the upper band suggests overbought (bearish reversal). A band squeeze (very narrow bands) signals a breakout is building.

Candlestick Signal — Detects classic reversal patterns in the most recent daily bars. Topping Tails (Shooting Stars) show sellers rejecting higher prices. Bottoming Tails (Hammers) show buyers stepping in. Engulfing patterns confirm momentum shifts. Signals are stronger at key levels (VAH, VAL, SMA 200) and on elevated volume.

Regime Overlay (Not Scored)

ADX — The Average Directional Index doesn't produce a score. Instead, it tells the system how much to trust the trend-following indicators. In strong trends (ADX above 25), trend signals get boosted. In choppy, range-bound markets (ADX below 20), they get dampened. It's the "trust gate" for the entire trend family.

Two Families of Indicators

These 9 indicators fall into two philosophical families. Every market speaks in two voices at once:

FamilyWhat It MeasuresIndicators
Trend-FollowingPersistence & strength of the current moveSMA 200, MA Cross 50/200
ContrarianWhen a move has gone too far (exhaustion)RSI Extreme, DeMark Sequential, Bollinger Bands, MFI

When both families agree → highest-conviction setup. The trend is strong AND it's not exhausted.
When they clash → the system flags the exact tension — those moments often mark transitions where the biggest opportunities and risks hide.

Why Not Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, or Trend Lines?

Signal Catcher has a strict design rule: every indicator must be deterministically computable from raw OHLCV data. Two independent implementations given the same data must always produce the same score. No exceptions.

These popular techniques were deliberately excluded:

Elliott Wave — Requires subjective wave counting. Ask five analysts to label the waves on the same chart and you'll get five different answers. No algorithm can deterministically identify wave counts without human interpretation.

Fibonacci Retracements — The levels themselves are mathematically precise, but choosing which swing high and swing low to anchor them to is entirely subjective. Different anchor points produce completely different levels.

Trend Lines — Drawing a trend line requires choosing which points to connect. Two analysts looking at the same chart will draw different lines. There's no objective rule for "the correct" trend line.

Anchored VWAP — Same problem as Fibonacci. The VWAP calculation is deterministic, but choosing the anchor date is a judgment call.

These aren't bad tools — many skilled traders use them effectively. They just can't survive Signal Catcher's repeatability requirement. If two people can look at the same data and get different results, it doesn't belong in the scoring engine.

How the Scoring Works

1. Score Each Indicator (0–100)

Ten indicators independently score the current market condition. Contrarian indicators use inverted scoring: oversold RSI is scored bullish because sellers are exhausted.

2. Weight by Confidence Bucket

BucketWeightIndicatorsRole
HIGH60%Volume Profile, SMA 200, MA Cross, RSI Extreme, OBV (On-Balance Volume)Structural, institutional-grade anchors
MED40%MFI, Bollinger Bands, DeMark, CandlestickInterpretive timing tools

Each indicator has an intra-weight reflecting its authority. SMA 200 carries the highest (1.4×) — the most widely watched institutional level. RSI Extreme is second (1.2×) — the strongest contrarian signal.

3. ADX Regime Overlay

ADX doesn't contribute a score — it's a market regime switch that adjusts trend-follower weights:

ADXRegimeEffect
≥ 40Very Strong Trend1.20× boost
≥ 30Strong Trend1.12× boost
≥ 25Trending1.06× boost
20–25Transitional1.00× neutral
< 20Choppy0.85× dampen

4. Confluences & Conflicts

7 confluence patterns boost weights when specific combinations align:

PatternIndicatorsMultiplier
🔒 Dual Trend ConfirmedSMA 200 + MA Cross1.10×
⚡ Double ExhaustionDeMark + Bollinger1.10×
📈 Dual OscillatorMFI + RSI1.08×
🏦 Volume Confirms TrendOBV + SMA 2001.08×
🏗 Structure + TrendVol Profile + SMA 2001.06×
🔥 Triple ExhaustionRSI + DeMark + Bollinger1.15×
💪 Smart MoneyOBV + MFI1.10×

6 conflict pairs surface meaningful disagreements (40+ point divergence):

ConflictWhat It Means
SMA 200 vs. RSIClassic trend vs. exhaustion — the system's philosophical backbone
OBV vs. BollingerInstitutional money vs. price bands tell different stories
DeMark vs. SMA 200Exhaustion says reverse; trend says continue
MFI vs. RSIVolume-weighted vs. price-only momentum diverge
OBV vs. SMA 200Volume flow diverging from price trend — early warning
MFI vs. OBVShort-term volume impulse vs. long-term volume trend

5. Specialized Alerts

Falling Knife — four simultaneous conditions (RSI oversold + DeMark buy + bullish reversal candle + confirmed downtrend) detect potential capitulation bottoms. The reversal candle (hammer/bottoming tail) confirms buyers are stepping in.
Blow-Off Top — the mirror image: RSI overbought + DeMark sell + bearish reversal candle (topping tail/shooting star) + confirmed uptrend. Sellers are stepping in at the top.

What You Can Do With It

Avoid buying into exhaustion — A score of 28 with Triple Exhaustion active means the technicals are begging you to wait, even if the fundamentals look perfect.

Confirm your entry — A score of 72 with Triple Trend Confirmed and volume flowing in means the chart agrees with your thesis.

Recognize transitions — When trend and exhaustion indicators are fighting, the market is changing. Signal Catcher surfaces these moments instead of hiding them.

Stay in strong moves — When trend is aligned, exhaustion is absent, and OBV confirms accumulation — "stay in the trade."

Signal Catcher is built for fun & education — not financial advice. 🎣
Version 13 · April 2026